Wednesday 19 December 2012

Science Journal 12: 2012 - Horrible Truth or Pseudoscience?



2012 - Horrible Truth or Pseudoscience?

   
          In spirit of the supposed upcoming “doomsday”, I decided to watch 2012, an apocalyptic movie that takes place during the predicted events of 2012.  This movie was an action/sci-fi film, and the plot was based on a lot of science.  A lot of the facts seemed quite believable, and some were explained so fast that the average viewer would not have had time to understand and reflect on what was being said.  The movie begins with a geologist meeting with an astrophysicist to discuss the issue of a large solar flare sending neutrinos to Earth, and causing its core’s temperature to rise significantly.  It is indicated that this increase in temperature would have a significant effect on the planet.  The film then cuts to the building of large ships in a mountainous area of China, and the hiding of valuable cultural pieces, such as painting and sculptures, deep in the Alps.  Then, we are introduced to the main characters:  a science fiction writer and his family, who try to escape the natural disasters that 2012 brings their way.  In the end, the main characters reach the now-constructed ships in China, and are looking forward to rebuilding their future. 

     Though there were many scientific facts and theories mentioned in this movie, the main one was a about a solar flare sending neutrinos to the Earth, and heating it up.  This caused pole shift and Earth crust displacement to occur resulting in massive earthquakes, tsunamis, and volcanic activity.  While analyzing the scientific facts in the movie, I found that it was easier to move backwards, and go from the consequence to the cause rather than from the cause to the consequence.  For example, the end result of all this activity was a significant change in the ocean levels and the decimation of most civilization on Earth.  Would this be possible through enormous amounts of volcanic activity, earthquakes, and tsunamis?  Probably.  The Japanese earthquake in 2011 was the 5th most powerful earthquake in the world since they have been recorded, and caused more than 25 000 people to become dead, missing, or seriously injured.  It also caused a major crisis for Japan’s nuclear power program.  By looking at previous events, it isn’t too far-fetched to imagine that many earthquakes and eruptions could destroy civilization. 

     The earthquakes, tsunamis, and other horrific natural disasters were the result of earth crust displacement and polar shift.  Popularized by Charles Hapgood, the theories of earth crust displacement and polar shift go hand in hand.  The theory states that the earth’s crust has gone through significant changes throughout time.  As well, changes in the magnetic and geographic poles in the Earth can be caused by this Earth crust displacement.  A character in the movie states that Hapgood said that this would happen because of a certain planetary alignment, and that Einstein had supported Hapgood’s theory.  By doing my own research, I found that planetary alignment has nothing to do with Hapgood’s theory (and therefore, Einstein hadn’t supported that part of it), and that the theory of crust displacement was made to explain some things that plate tectonics can now explain better.  Furthermore, NASA scientists have said that even though polar shift is possible and does happen, it happens extremely gradually and will not cause any major effects.  The North and South poles will not “flip” instantaneously.             

     The cause of the polar shift and crust displacement was the heating of the Earth’s core because of neutrinos from a solar flare.  In the movie, the neutrinos had an electric charge that caused them to heat up and liquefy the Earth’s core, resulting in the displacement of the Earth’s crust.  A few minutes of research breaks the plot this movie was based on.  Solar flares do occur, and send out coronal mass ejectons, which consist of many particles travelling through space.  Particles from a CME usually reach Earth in 24-48 hours, and don’t do much damage other than to electrical communications devices, and devices in space.  Neutrinos have no charge since they are neutral.  They also pass harmlessly through matter, and are not known to cause damage or a radical increase in temperature to the Earth.  Any harmful effects of neutrinos haven’t been proven, and exist only in theories that suggest that enough exposure to neutrinos can cause cancer.  Another thing I noticed during 2012 is that to melt the Earth’s core, you would need an amount of energy that doesn’t seem to be present in the film.  Though extremely hot, the Earth’s core is solid, largely because of the amount of pressure put on it.  You would need huge amounts of heat energy to melt the core.  Wouldn’t the energy cause massive destruction to the Earth’s surface before it did so to the core? 

     

       Overall, one can safely conclude that the science in this movie is merely pseudoscience, designed to entertain rather than educate.  The credibility of the science in this film isn’t very high, since it was designed to make profits.  The majority of viewers might at first be convinced that the events of 2012 could be a possibility, but once they look back and think about the movie, they will know it was just another passenger on the “2012 apocalypse” bandwagon.   

       I chose to watch and reflect upon this movie because of its relevance in current media and popular belief.  Many people believe that some sort of apocalyptic event could take place in 2012.  Many of these beliefs are being spread by the media, which is now almost omnipresent thanks to advances in technology.  We are constantly being spoken to by thousands of very convincing voices telling us that the Earth will end because of cosmic rays or planetary alignment.  Having even a little bit of scientific literacy and general knowledge will quickly help us realize that many of these predictions are based on fiction rather than fact.
 The amount of people that believe what the media says is slightly disturbing, since it shows how easily we can be fooled into thinking something that is false.  A lot of the media is also politically inclined, and might present to us biased news because of this.  Though it may seem bad, and maybe even evil, it is just a result of people trying to reach their own goals, and it can be avoided by taking on a responsibility to be informed, and not believe everything you hear.   

      Personally, I believe that on December 21st we will be just as prone to dying suddenly as we are on any other day.  Many people base their beliefs on religion or other’s experiences, which is an extremely personal choice.  I think that I will be able to survive best if I base my choices on science, since it has been proven to work many times.  If many other people and I are wrong about the world not ending on 2012, then at least we don’t have to worry about the consequences!  But it will also mean that I wrote this science journal for nothing... :P  Hopefully, all deathly cosmic rays will occur after I eat the food at the class parties! 

Bibliography:
http://www.nasa.gov/topics/earth/features/2012.html

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